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Election 2024: Trump vs. Haley in New Hampshire

By 

Jordan Sekulow

|
January 23

3 min read

Public Policy

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What are Nikki Haley’s chances in South Carolina if Donald Trump wins the New Hampshire primary? After losing the Iowa caucus, she needs momentum to be the Republican nominee against President Biden in the 2024 presidential election. Today’s analysis isn’t meant to be an attack on Haley. We have a lot of respect for her, having worked with her at the U.N.

Fox News reports on both candidates’ last-minute pushes for New Hampshire voters:

Nikki Haley, telling supporters at a rally in Salem, New Hampshire, on the eve of the first primary in the race for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, said that “we’ve got a lot on the line here.”

Former President Trump, a couple of hours later and some 60 miles north of Haley in Laconia, New Hampshire, emphasized to the crowd at his rally that “tomorrow is the day that each and every one of you is going to cast the most important vote of your entire life.” . . .

For Haley, a former two-term South Carolina governor who served as U.N. ambassador in the Trump administration, the New Hampshire primary may be her best and possibly last chance to slow down or derail the former president’s march towards renomination.

How many people a year ago would have put money down on former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley being the remaining candidate to defeat President Trump for the GOP nomination? Popular betting choices like Gov. Ron DeSantis have already pulled out after seeing no viable pathway to victory.

Now the Granite State is a make-or-break moment for Haley. It is a much different voting battleground than Iowa, where Trump won in historic fashion. It’s an open primary, which means Democrats and Republicans can vote in the election. Also, it’s a more moderate state with independent voters. Both factors could make a significant difference for Haley.

Let’s say Haley makes it competitive tonight and doesn’t win but still comes within four or five points of Trump. She’ll then have a month to decide if she wants to go forward with her campaign in South Carolina. If she pulls off the upset in New Hampshire, she will have enormous momentum, and millions of dollars will start pouring in.

However, the fact remains she’s already down double digits in the South Carolina polls.

One factor that could also be hovering in the back of Haley’s mind is that President Trump still faces 91 counts across four indictments. If any one of these cases severely damages Trump’s candidacy, she’ll be the only Republican candidate still standing.

We’ll find out tonight if she can rally enough support. The polls clearly favor President Trump, but anything can happen.         

ACLJ Senior Counsel CeCe Heil joined the show to give an update on the ACLJ’s international work. First, we are striving diligently to save Shahzad Masih, a Pakistani Christian on death row for his faith. We are filing a vital written submission to the U.N. Human Rights Council, and our team is preparing to travel to Geneva to present an oral intervention on his behalf.

Also, we have a team from the European Centre for Law and Justice (ECLJ) headed to Spain for important meetings concerning our work to free the Israeli hostages. This is an important week for our defense of Israel.

Today’s Sekulow broadcast included a full analysis of today’s pivotal New Hampshire primary. We also discussed the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision regarding the border crisis and the upcoming impeachment proceedings against DHS Secretary Mayorkas.

Watch the full broadcast below:

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