We’re 13 days out from Election Day, and the polls are tightening.
On today’s Jay Sekulow Live, we analyzed the ever-tightening polls as we grow closer to the Presidential Election, which is just 13 days away. Is it déjà vu all over again? The polls are nearly identical to what they looked like at this same point back in 2016.
Tomorrow is the final presidential debate, airing at 9pm Eastern, which is taking place at Nashville’s Belmont University. There will be a lot of focus on that going into tomorrow. And of course we can expect that to be the major topic of discussion all over the airwaves come Friday morning.
We’ve been looking at the polls, and comparing them state by state to where they were in the last election cycle. If you start looking at key states, like Michigan which was carried by President Trump in 2016 by 0.3% for example, four years ago Secretary Clinton was leading by over 11 points, according to the Real Clear Politics poll. That’s way outside the margin of error.
And yet, as we all know, even though she was way ahead in the polling, she actually lost the state to President Trump by 0.3% in the election. Right now, Vice President Biden is only up 6.7% in the Real Clear Politics average which is 5 points behind where Secretary Clinton was. Look at Wisconsin, where Secretary Clinton was up 7 points in the polls at this point. Vice President Biden currently only leads by 6.3%. He’s under where Secretary Clinton was, and President Trump carried that state by 0.7% in 2016. This is happening in most of the battleground states.
The Left is directing all this focus right on how this could be a landslide for Vice President Biden. It seems like they are trying to convince you not to show up to vote, but I think that could backfire. Instead what may happen is voters on their own side may not show up to vote, thinking it’s already in the bag. When you start hearing numbers like that from the Left, and you already don’t want to deal with the lines and the people – especially during a pandemic – you may decide not to brave the long lines. When the Left keeps saying that President Trump has no chance, that reaction may become reality.
The bottom line is, this is a very close election, and while there are no guarantees, the past is very often a prognosticator. 2020 could be 2016 all over again.
The full broadcast is complete with much more analysis by our panel on the similarities between 2020 and 2016 polling, the final results in 2016, and how it correlates to what may happen on November 3rd. One thing is certain; we’re finally close to the end of the race.
Watch the full broadcast below.
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